The Kentucky Wildcats are cruising, undefeated with wins over Florida and LSU at home, yet, they’re more than a three-touchdown underdog against the number one team in the country, the Georgia Bulldogs.
The Bulldogs have been amazing this season and knocked off two ranked opponents in the last two weeks by a ridiculous combined score of 71-10. Georgia has allowed fewer than 14 points in every game this season. Can Kentucky put numbers on the board and give Georgia a scare at Sanford Stadium on Saturday, October 16?
Our picks and predictions for Kentucky vs Georgia are below.
Kentucky vs Georgia odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
The Kentucky Wildcats are 23-point underdogs after opening as a 26.5-point underdog. There’s plenty of discrepancies between sportsbooks, meaning you can find Kentucky as a 21.5-point underdog and a 23-point underdog for the same price.
Kentucky vs Georgia picks
Picks made on 10/14/2021 at 10:15 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Kentucky vs Georgia game info
Location: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
Kentucky vs Georgia betting preview
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.
Kentucky: Josh Ali WR (Out), Dekel Crowdus WR (Out), Marquan McCall NT (Out)
Georgia: Dominick Blaylock WR (Out), Jermaine Burton WR (Probable), JT Daniels QB (Questionable), Rian Davis LB (Questionable), Jalen Kimber CB (Questionable), Kenny McIntosh RB (Questionable), George Pickens WR (Out), Julian Rochester DL (Questionable), Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint WR (Questionable), Jamaree Salyer OL (Questionable), Arian Smith WR (Questionable), Christopher Smith DB (Questionable), Ameer Speed DB (Questionable)
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.
Betting trend to know
Wildcats are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six conference games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Kentucky vs. Georgia.
Kentucky vs Georgia predictions
Kentucky +23 (-110)
There’s no doubt that Georgia should be ranked the number one team in the country. However, there’s also no doubt that Kentucky should be ranked in the Top 10.
The Wildcats have scored 31 points per game while allowing 17.5 points per game. The running game is lethal, averaging 214.2 points per game and the offensive line has been absolutely terrific all season long.
It looks like quarterback Will Levis is starting to get comfortable with this Kentucky offense and he’s running hard and making big time throws as of late.
Levis has some help with one of the best receivers in college football, Wan’Dale Moore, who has caught 37 passes for 527 yards and four touchdowns in just six games this season.
Obviously, things are going to be a bit harder on the offensive end with Georgia allowing just 5.5 points per game. Everything about Georgia is elite on D, and they’ll more than likely have the most first-round draft picks in college football with this defense.
Teams like Auburn and Arkansas, who can score points in a hurry against other SEC opponents, struggled to do much of anything against Georgia.
Astonishingly, Georgia has allowed just 201.2 yards per game this season. They’ve played six games with three against ranked opponents, yet they still allow the fewest yards per play in the country, by a fairly wide margin.
I’m not sure how much longer this defense can sustain success like this. Kentucky has done a lot of good things on the offensive end and defensive end. So, while I believe Kentucky loses this game, I’ll take the bait and take Kentucky +23.
Covers college football betting analysis
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Under 44.5 (-110)
At this point in time, we have no idea if starting quarterback J.T. Daniels will start for the Bulldogs. Stetson Bennett has been the starter in the last couple of weeks and has done just fine as Daniels’ replacement.
However, Georgia only scored 34 and 37 points in their last two games. Let’s say Kentucky covers the spread and holds this game Under, for example, the score could be 31-13 and both bets would deliver.
I think that makes the most sense. I’m not looking to bet an Over against a team that has allowed 5.5 points per game. However, I do think Kentucky has a big offensive line that can move piles, create lanes and help score points.
A 44.5 number will make you think extra hard about taking an Under, but both defenses have been very consistent this year. Last week, LSU’s Max Johnson struggled against Kentucky and played the worst game of his collegiate career. That was a product of the Kentucky defense. I’ll stick with the Under in this one.
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Source : https://www.covers.com/ncaaf/kentucky-vs-georgia-picks-predictions-october-16-20211343